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Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings big power on the toes and a durable style to embrace brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by technical boxers but contrary to the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top rated competitive striker for the division, he was very competitive. Perry is powerful in the clinch but his takedown defense remains unproven against a valid grappler. Cowboy could exploit the ground game as he’s underrated wrestling, however, he tends to struggle with inconsistent gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a frequent issue and here against Perry that could be a significant mistake. He’s got large electricity himself but both guys are very hittable. On the toes it likely favours Perry, at least to the first half of the fight when he is most dangerous. Start Looking for a back and forth war, with all the durability of Perry which makes the gap — as both men consume serious damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a 3 fight losing streak but has been competitive in all fights going way back to his KO loss to Ngannou. At 40 years old that he brings a much less aggressive fashion nowadays which has lead to six sequential decisions. His output looks to be slowing his precise boxing style remains, allowing him to work behind a jab against slower opponents. Sakai is considerably younger so could be advancing, but so far has failed to impress. He’s big and yells powerful yet slow helpless strikes, with reduced quantity. Primarily a boxer, Arlovski will not need to be worried about too many other weapons.
This is likely to be a gradual struggle using the effective striker coming out on top. Start looking for Arlovski to prevent exchanges and poke Sakai in the exterior or use his wrestling to maintain him against the weapon. If he can avoid becoming caught a decision here is probably for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski at 2.30 (+130) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a serious BJJ blackbelt making her UFC introduction with a 14-0 record. She has jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst limited with striking, she is relentless with takedowns and has a wide array of methods to get conflicts to the ground. On top she is very solid, keeping control and attacking subs. That is obviously a large step up in competition from Invicta against Esparza, a real veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and has not displayed great takedown defense to coincide with her offensive wrestling skills. She would be best to try and keep this fight standing where her improved striking should be able to edge out quantity.
Jandiroba is not proven at this level but looks like the real deal, displaying exceptional method and composure. Worst case scenario Esparza is able to defend her off back and make scrambles to induce dramatic exchanges, taking us to a close choice. A much better position is Jandiroba dominating with her high control and securing a unanimous conclusion or locating a entry. An Esparza end is quite unlikely. Given the chances and various paths to victory, a shot on the newcomer in even money is fantastic price.